Difference between revisions of "Scenario"
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==== [[Jordan]] ==== | ==== [[Jordan]] ==== | ||
{{definition|A scenario is a plausible and often simplified description of how the future may develop based on a coherent and internally consistent set of assumptions about driving forces and key relationships. <ref>[http://www.moenv.gov.jo/AR/PDFs/Climate%20change%20policy_PDF.pdf The National Climate Change Policy of the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan 2013-2020]</ref>}}<br/><br/> | {{definition|A scenario is a plausible and often simplified description of how the future may develop based on a coherent and internally consistent set of assumptions about driving forces and key relationships. <ref>[http://www.moenv.gov.jo/AR/PDFs/Climate%20change%20policy_PDF.pdf The National Climate Change Policy of the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan 2013-2020]</ref>}}<br/><br/> | ||
− | + | ====[[Mexico]]==== | |
+ | {{definition|Escenario climático: Representación plausible y a menudo simplificada del clima futuro, basada en un conjunto internamente coherente de relaciones climatológicas, que se construye para ser utilizada de forma explícita en la investigación de las consecuencias potenciales del cambio climático antropogénico, y que sirve a menudo de insumo para las simulaciones de los impactos. <ref>[http://www.ccpy.gob.mx/glosario-terminos-ipcc.pdf Glosario IPCC, Mexico]</ref>}}Las proyecciones climáticas sirven a menudo como materia prima para la construcción de escenarios climáticos, pero los escenarios climáticos requieren información adicional, por ejemplo, acerca del clima observado en un momento determinado. Un ‘escenario de cambio climático’ es la diferencia entre un escenario climático y el clima actual.<br /><br/> | ||
==== [[Netherlands]]==== | ==== [[Netherlands]]==== | ||
{{definition|[Dutch; fire fighting] Een keten van [[Event|gebeurtenissen]] die zich voordoet vanaf het ontstaan van brand,zonder hierbij te bepalen of de kans op brand realistisch is. <ref>[https://www.brandweer.nl/publish/pages/risico_beoordeling_16_0_bhm_2015.pdf Risicobeoordeling 16.0: Een kansrijk kader; Theorie achter het risicomanagementproces en leidraad voor risicobeoordeling, June 2015]</ref>}}<br /><br/> | {{definition|[Dutch; fire fighting] Een keten van [[Event|gebeurtenissen]] die zich voordoet vanaf het ontstaan van brand,zonder hierbij te bepalen of de kans op brand realistisch is. <ref>[https://www.brandweer.nl/publish/pages/risico_beoordeling_16_0_bhm_2015.pdf Risicobeoordeling 16.0: Een kansrijk kader; Theorie achter het risicomanagementproces en leidraad voor risicobeoordeling, June 2015]</ref>}}<br /><br/> | ||
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[[Category:Simulation]][[Category:CIPRNet-Glossary]][[Category:DIESIS-Glossary]] | [[Category:Simulation]][[Category:CIPRNet-Glossary]][[Category:DIESIS-Glossary]] | ||
− | {{#set:defined by=EU|defined by=EU-project|defined by=IAEA|defined by=IPCC|defined by=Canada|defined by=Denmark|defined by=Germany|defined by=Italy|defined by=Jordan|defined by=Netherlands|defined by=Sweden|defined by=United Kingdom|defined by=United States|defined by=NERC|defined by=ISO|defined by=Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)}} | + | {{#set:defined by=EU|defined by=EU-project|defined by=IAEA|defined by=IPCC|defined by=Canada|defined by=Denmark|defined by=Germany|defined by=Italy|defined by=Jordan|defined by=Mexico|defined by=Netherlands|defined by=Sweden|defined by=United Kingdom|defined by=United States|defined by=NERC|defined by=ISO|defined by=Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)}} |
[[Category:RESIN-Glossary]] | [[Category:RESIN-Glossary]] |
Revision as of 23:50, 19 March 2017
Contents
Definitions
European Definitions
European Commission
CLIMATE-ADAPT
Scenarios may be derived from projections, but are often based on additional information from other sources, sometimes combined with a narrative storyline.
European Project Definitions
CIPRNet project
The CIPRNet project [3] uses the following definition:
A scenario consists of a CI Model, the initial states of all components and the scenario behaviour that describes the events that happen
within the scenario.
DIESIS project
The DIESIS project [4] gives the following definition:
A scenario consists of a CI Model, the initial states of all components and the scenario behaviour that describes the events that happen
within the scenario.
RESIN project
The RESIN project [5] gives the following definition:
Other International Definitions
IAEA
Most commonly used in analysis or assessment to represent possible future conditions and/or events to be modelled, such as possible accidents {...}. A scenario may represent the conditions at a single point in time or a single event, or a time history of conditions and/or events (including processes).
IPCC
Scenarios may be derived from projections, but are often based on additional information from other sources, sometimes combined with a narrative storyline.
National Definitions
Canada
Situation ou série d’événements hypothétiques décrivant un incident, une urgence ou une crise qui est présentée aux participants sous forme de récit afin de diriger la simulation lors d’un exercice. [9]
Denmark
Germany
Italy
Jordan
Mexico
Las proyecciones climáticas sirven a menudo como materia prima para la construcción de escenarios climáticos, pero los escenarios climáticos requieren información adicional, por ejemplo, acerca del clima observado en un momento determinado. Un ‘escenario de cambio climático’ es la diferencia entre un escenario climático y el clima actual.
Netherlands
Sweden
United Kingdom (UK)
These use specific assumptions on how aspects of the world might change, like economies, social trends, changes in technology, environmental changes, etc., based upon the best understanding available.
United States
DHS
NERC
Standard Definition
ISO 22300:2012(en)
Discussion Topic
A postulated sequence or development of events. - Oxford Dictionary.
See also
Notes
- ↑ European Commission, COMMISSION STAFF WORKING PAPER Risk Assessment and Mapping Guidelines for Disaster Management, SEC(2010)1626 final, Brussels, 21.12.2010
- ↑ European Climate Adaptation Platform (CLIMATE-ADAPT) Glossary
- ↑ http://www.ciprnet.eu/
- ↑ http://www.diesis-project.eu/
- ↑ http://www.resin-cities.eu/
- ↑ Mach, K.J., S. Planton and C. von Stechow (eds.). Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Annex II: Glossary. [Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri and L.A. Meyer (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, pp. 117-130.
- ↑ IAEA - Nuclear Security Series Glossary Version 1.3 (November 2015)
- ↑ IPCC
- ↑ Vocabulaire de la gestion des urgencies/Emergency Management Emergency Management Vocabulary 281 (2012)
- ↑ [HÅNDBOG I RISIKOBASERET DIMENSIONERING, Beredskabsstyrelsen, Denmark (2004)]
- ↑ IT Emergency and Crisis Exercises in Critical Infrastructures, BMI - Federal Ministry of the Interior (2007)
- ↑ Methode für die Risikoanalyse im Bevölkerungsschutz
- ↑ Dipartimento della Protezione Civile Glossario
- ↑ The National Climate Change Policy of the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan 2013-2020
- ↑ Glosario IPCC, Mexico
- ↑ Risicobeoordeling 16.0: Een kansrijk kader; Theorie achter het risicomanagementproces en leidraad voor risicobeoordeling, June 2015
- ↑ Swedish National Risk Assessment 2012
- ↑ The National Adaptation Programme: Making the country resilient to a changing climate, UK Government (2013)
- ↑ DHS Risk Lexicon 2010 Edition, September 2010
- ↑ NERC Glossary of Terms, May 2015
- ↑ ISO 22300:2012(en) Societal security — Terminology