Difference between revisions of "Scenario"

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(Other International Definitions)
(Other International Definitions)
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=== Other International Definitions ===
 
=== Other International Definitions ===
 
==== [[IAEA]] ====
 
==== [[IAEA]] ====
{{definition|Scenario is a postulated or assumed set of conditions and/or [[event|events]]. <ref>[https://www-ns.iaea.org/downloads/security/nuclear-security-series-glossary-v1-3.pdf IAEA - Nuclear Security Series Glossary Version 1.3 (November 2015)]</ref>}}Most commonly used in analysis or assessment to represent possible future conditions and/or events to be modelled, such as possible accidents {...}. A scenario may represent the conditions at a single point in time or a single event, or a time history of conditions and/or events (including processes). <br/><br/>
+
{{definition|Scenario is a postulated or assumed set of conditions and/or [[event|events]]. <ref>[https://www-ns.iaea.org/downloads/security/nuclear-security-series-glossary-v1-3.pdf IAEA - Nuclear Security Series Glossary Version 1.3 (November 2015)]</ref>}}Most commonly used in analysis or assessment to represent possible future conditions and/or events to be modelled, such as possible accidents {...}. A scenario may represent the conditions at a single point in time or a single event, or a time history of conditions and/or events (including processes). <br/>
 +
 
 
==== IPCC ====
 
==== IPCC ====
{{definition|A plausible and often simplified description of how the future may develop based on a coherent and internally consistent set of assumptions about driving forces and key relationships.  <ref>[https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/special-reports/srex/SREX-Annex_Glossary.pdf IPCC]</ref>}}Scenarios may be derived from projections, but are often based on additional information from other sources, sometimes combined with a narrative storyline.<br/>
+
{{definition|A plausible and often simplified description of how the future may develop based on a coherent and internally consistent set of assumptions about driving forces and key relationships.  <ref>[https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/special-reports/srex/SREX-Annex_Glossary.pdf IPCC]</ref>}}Scenarios may be derived from projections, but are often based on additional information from other sources, sometimes combined with a narrative storyline.<br/><br/>
  
 
=== National Definitions ===
 
=== National Definitions ===

Revision as of 16:18, 29 December 2016


Definitions

European Definitions

European Commission

[Risk] scenario is a representation of one single-risk or multi-risk situation leading to significant impacts, selected for the purpose of assessing in more detail a particular type of risk for which it is representative, or constitutes an informative example or illustration. [1]


European Project Definitions

CIPRNet project

The CIPRNet project [2] uses the following definition:

A scenario consists of a CI Model, the initial states of all components and the scenario behaviour that describes the events that happen

within the scenario.


DIESIS project

The DIESIS project [3] gives the following definition:

A scenario consists of a CI Model, the initial states of all components and the scenario behaviour that describes the events that happen

within the scenario.



RESIN project

The RESIN project [4] gives the following definition:

A plausible description of how the future may develop based on a coherent and internally consistent set of assumptions about key driving forces (e.g. rate of technological change, prices) and relationships. [5]


Other International Definitions

IAEA

Scenario is a postulated or assumed set of conditions and/or events. [6]

Most commonly used in analysis or assessment to represent possible future conditions and/or events to be modelled, such as possible accidents {...}. A scenario may represent the conditions at a single point in time or a single event, or a time history of conditions and/or events (including processes).

IPCC

A plausible and often simplified description of how the future may develop based on a coherent and internally consistent set of assumptions about driving forces and key relationships. [7]

Scenarios may be derived from projections, but are often based on additional information from other sources, sometimes combined with a narrative storyline.

National Definitions

Canada

A hypothetical situation or chain of events that depicts an incident, emergency or crisis and that is delivered to exercise players through a narrative to guide simulation during an exercise.

Situation ou série d’événements hypothétiques décrivant un incident, une urgence ou une crise qui est présentée aux participants sous forme de récit afin de diriger la simulation lors d’un exercice. [8]



Germany

A scenario is a situation or a sequence of events requiring a response from those participating in the exercise. [9]


Szenario: Annahme von möglichen Ereignissen oder Abfolgen von Ereignissen und deren Einwirkungen auf Schutzgüter. [10]



Netherlands

[Dutch; fire fighting] Een keten van gebeurtenissen die zich voordoet vanaf het ontstaan van brand,zonder hierbij te bepalen of de kans op brand realistisch is. [11]



Sweden

A scenario refers to a hypothetical event for which variables such as place, time, weather etc., and their values have been specified. [12]



United Kingdom (UK)

Scenario is a plausible description of a possible future state of the world. [13]

These use specific assumptions on how aspects of the world might change, like economies, social trends, changes in technology, environmental changes, etc., based upon the best understanding available.

United States

DHS
Scenario is a hypothetical situation comprised of a hazard, an entity impacted by that hazard, and associated conditions including consequences when appropriate. [14]


NERC
A scenario is a possible event. [15]



Standard Definition

ISO 22300:2012(en)

Pre-planned storyline that drives an exercise; the stimuli used to achieve exercise objectives. [16]

Discussion Topic

A postulated sequence or development of events. - Oxford Dictionary.

See also

Notes

References