Difference between revisions of "Scenario"

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{{quote-resin| A plausible description of how the future may develop based on a coherent and internally consistent set of assumptions about key driving forces (e.g. rate of technological change, prices) and relationships. <ref>Mach, K.J., S. Planton and C. von Stechow (eds.). Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Annex II: Glossary. [Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri and L.A. Meyer (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, pp. 117-130.</ref> }}
 
{{quote-resin| A plausible description of how the future may develop based on a coherent and internally consistent set of assumptions about key driving forces (e.g. rate of technological change, prices) and relationships. <ref>Mach, K.J., S. Planton and C. von Stechow (eds.). Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Annex II: Glossary. [Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri and L.A. Meyer (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, pp. 117-130.</ref> }}
 
=== Other International Definitions ===
 
=== Other International Definitions ===
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==== IPCC ====
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{{definition|A plausible and often simplified description of how the future may develop based on a coherent and internally consistent set of assumptions about driving forces and key relationships.  <ref>[https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/special-reports/srex/SREX-Annex_Glossary.pdf IPCC]</ref>}}Scenarios may be derived from projections, but are often based on additional information from other sources, sometimes combined with a narrative storyline.<br/>
  
 
=== National Definitions ===
 
=== National Definitions ===
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[[Category:DIESIS-Glossary]]
 
[[Category:DIESIS-Glossary]]
 
[[Category:Simulation]]
 
[[Category:Simulation]]
{{#set:defined by=EU|defined by=EU project|defined by=Canada|defined by=Germany|defined by=United Kingdom|defined by=United States|defined by=NERC|defined by=ISO|defined by=Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)}}
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{{#set:defined by=EU|defined by=EU project|defined by=IPCC|defined by=Canada|defined by=Germany|defined by=United Kingdom|defined by=United States|defined by=NERC|defined by=ISO|defined by=Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)}}
 
[[Category:RESIN-Glossary]]
 
[[Category:RESIN-Glossary]]

Revision as of 21:31, 30 November 2016


Definitions

European Definitions

European Commission

[Risk] scenario is a representation of one single-risk or multi-risk situation leading to significant impacts, selected for the purpose of assessing in more detail a particular type of risk for which it is representative, or constitutes an informative example or illustration. [1]


DIESIS project

The DIESIS project [2] gives the following definition:

A scenario consists of a CI Model, the initial states of all components and the scenario behaviour that describes the events that happen within the scenario.


RESIN project

The RESIN project [3] gives the following definition:

A plausible description of how the future may develop based on a coherent and internally consistent set of assumptions about key driving forces (e.g. rate of technological change, prices) and relationships. [4]


Other International Definitions

IPCC

A plausible and often simplified description of how the future may develop based on a coherent and internally consistent set of assumptions about driving forces and key relationships. [5]

Scenarios may be derived from projections, but are often based on additional information from other sources, sometimes combined with a narrative storyline.

National Definitions

Canada

A hypothetical situation or chain of events that depicts an incident, emergency or crisis and that is delivered to exercise players through a narrative to guide simulation during an exercise.

Situation ou série d’événements hypothétiques décrivant un incident, une urgence ou une crise qui est présentée aux participants sous forme de récit afin de diriger la simulation lors d’un exercice. [6]


Germany

A scenario is a situation or a sequence of events requiring a response from those participating in the [[Exercise|exercise]]. [7]



United Kingdom (UK)

Scenario is a plausible description of a possible future state of the world. [8]

These use specific assumptions on how aspects of the world might change, like economies, social trends, changes in technology, environmental changes, etc., based upon the best understanding available.

United States

DHS
Scenario is a hypothetical situation comprised of a hazard, an entity impacted by that hazard, and associated conditions including consequences when appropriate. [9]


NERC
A scenario is a possible event. [10]



Standard Definition

ISO 22300:2012(en)

Pre-planned storyline that drives an exercise; the stimuli used to achieve exercise objectives. [11]

Discussion Topic

A postulated sequence or development of events. - Oxford Dictionary.

See also

Notes

References