Difference between revisions of "Scenario"
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{{definition|[Risk] scenario is a representation of one single-[[risk]] or multi-[[risk]] situation leading to significant [[impact]]s, selected for the purpose of assessing in more detail a particular type of risk for which it is representative, or constitutes an informative example or illustration. <ref>[http://ec.europa.eu/echo/files/about/COMM_PDF_SEC_2010_1626_F_staff_working_document_en.pdf European Commission, COMMISSION STAFF WORKING PAPER Risk Assessment and Mapping Guidelines for Disaster Management, SEC(2010)1626 final, Brussels, 21.12.2010]</ref>}}<br/> | {{definition|[Risk] scenario is a representation of one single-[[risk]] or multi-[[risk]] situation leading to significant [[impact]]s, selected for the purpose of assessing in more detail a particular type of risk for which it is representative, or constitutes an informative example or illustration. <ref>[http://ec.europa.eu/echo/files/about/COMM_PDF_SEC_2010_1626_F_staff_working_document_en.pdf European Commission, COMMISSION STAFF WORKING PAPER Risk Assessment and Mapping Guidelines for Disaster Management, SEC(2010)1626 final, Brussels, 21.12.2010]</ref>}}<br/> | ||
==== [[CLIMATE-ADAPT]] ==== | ==== [[CLIMATE-ADAPT]] ==== | ||
− | {{definition|Scenario is a plausible and often simplified description of how the future may develop, based on a coherent and internally consistent set of assumptions about driving forces and key relationships. <ref>[http://climate-adapt.eea.europa.eu/help/glossary European Climate Adaptation Platform (CLIMATE-ADAPT) Glossary]</ref>}}Scenarios may be derived from projections, but are often based on additional information from other sources, sometimes combined with a narrative storyline. <br/><br/> | + | {{definition|Scenario is a plausible and often simplified description of how the future may develop, based on a coherent and internally consistent set of assumptions about driving forces and key relationships. <ref>[http://climate-adapt.eea.europa.eu/help/glossary European Climate Adaptation Platform (CLIMATE-ADAPT) Glossary]</ref>}}Scenarios may be derived from projections, but are often based on additional information from other sources, sometimes combined with a narrative storyline. <br/> |
+ | ===== [[ENTSO-E]] ===== | ||
+ | {{definition|Scenario: The forecasted status of the power system for a given timeframe. <ref name="ENTSO-E">[https://docstore.entsoe.eu/data/data-portal/glossary/Pages/home.aspx ENTSO-E Glossary of Terms]</ref>}} | ||
+ | <br/> | ||
=== European Project Definitions === | === European Project Definitions === | ||
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==== IPCC ==== | ==== IPCC ==== | ||
{{definition|A plausible and often simplified description of how the future may develop based on a coherent and internally consistent set of assumptions about driving forces and key relationships. <ref>[https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/special-reports/srex/SREX-Annex_Glossary.pdf IPCC]</ref>}}Scenarios may be derived from projections, but are often based on additional information from other sources, sometimes combined with a narrative storyline.<br/><br/> | {{definition|A plausible and often simplified description of how the future may develop based on a coherent and internally consistent set of assumptions about driving forces and key relationships. <ref>[https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/special-reports/srex/SREX-Annex_Glossary.pdf IPCC]</ref>}}Scenarios may be derived from projections, but are often based on additional information from other sources, sometimes combined with a narrative storyline.<br/><br/> | ||
+ | ==== [[UNISDR]] ==== | ||
+ | {{definition|Scenarios: An account or synopsis of a possible course of events that could occur, including the development of hypothetical impact. <ref> [https://www.unisdr.org/files/594_10382.pdf Words Into Action: A Guide for Implementing the Hyogo Framework; Hyogo Framework for Action 2005-2015: Building the resilience of nations and communities to disasters]</ref>}}These scenarios form the basis for planning [[prevention]],[[mitigation]] or [[preparedness]].<br/><br/> | ||
+ | ==== [[WHO]] ==== | ||
+ | {{definition|Scenario: An account or synopsis of a possible course of [[Event|events]] that could occur, which forms the basis for planning assumptions (for example, a river floods, covering a nearby town and wiping out the local population's crop). <ref>[http://www.who.int/hac/about/definitions/en/ WHO: Glossary of Humanitarian Terms]</ref>}}<br/><br/> | ||
=== National Definitions === | === National Definitions === | ||
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{{definition|A hypothetical situation or chain of events that depicts an incident, emergency or crisis and that is delivered to [[exercise]] players through a narrative to guide simulation during an [[exercise]]. <br /><br />Situation ou série d’événements hypothétiques décrivant un incident, une urgence ou une crise qui est présentée aux participants sous forme de récit afin de diriger la simulation lors d’un exercice. <ref name="canada">[http://publications.gc.ca/collections/collection_2012/tpsgc-pwgsc/S52-2-281-2012.pdf Vocabulaire de la gestion des urgencies/Emergency Management Emergency Management Vocabulary 281 (2012)]</ref>}} <br /><br/> | {{definition|A hypothetical situation or chain of events that depicts an incident, emergency or crisis and that is delivered to [[exercise]] players through a narrative to guide simulation during an [[exercise]]. <br /><br />Situation ou série d’événements hypothétiques décrivant un incident, une urgence ou une crise qui est présentée aux participants sous forme de récit afin de diriger la simulation lors d’un exercice. <ref name="canada">[http://publications.gc.ca/collections/collection_2012/tpsgc-pwgsc/S52-2-281-2012.pdf Vocabulaire de la gestion des urgencies/Emergency Management Emergency Management Vocabulary 281 (2012)]</ref>}} <br /><br/> | ||
==== [[Denmark]] ==== | ==== [[Denmark]] ==== | ||
− | {{definition|Et scenarie er en tænkt ulykke/begivenhed til belysning af, hvordan en risiko kan udmønte sig i praksis i form af hændelsesforløb og konsekvenser. <ref>[HÅNDBOG I RISIKOBASERET DIMENSIONERING, Beredskabsstyrelsen, Denmark (2004)]</ref>}}<br /><br/> | + | {{definition|Et scenarie er en tænkt ulykke/begivenhed til belysning af, hvordan en risiko kan udmønte sig i praksis i form af hændelsesforløb og konsekvenser. <ref>[https://brs.dk/viden/publikationer/Documents/RBDhaandbog.pdf HÅNDBOG I RISIKOBASERET DIMENSIONERING, Beredskabsstyrelsen, Denmark (2004)]</ref>}}<br /><br/> |
+ | |||
====[[Germany]]==== | ====[[Germany]]==== | ||
{{definition| A scenario is a situation or a sequence of [[event|events]] requiring a response from those participating in the [[Exercise|exercise]]. <ref name="UPKRITIS">[https://www.bmi.bund.de/cae/servlet/contentblob/560098/publicationFile/27811/kritis_3_eng.pdf IT Emergency and Crisis Exercises in Critical Infrastructures, BMI - Federal Ministry of the Interior (2007)]</ref>}}<br /> | {{definition| A scenario is a situation or a sequence of [[event|events]] requiring a response from those participating in the [[Exercise|exercise]]. <ref name="UPKRITIS">[https://www.bmi.bund.de/cae/servlet/contentblob/560098/publicationFile/27811/kritis_3_eng.pdf IT Emergency and Crisis Exercises in Critical Infrastructures, BMI - Federal Ministry of the Interior (2007)]</ref>}}<br /> | ||
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{{definition|A scenario is a possible event. <ref name="NERC">[http://www.nerc.com/files/glossary_of_terms.pdf NERC Glossary of Terms, May 2015]</ref>}}<br/> | {{definition|A scenario is a possible event. <ref name="NERC">[http://www.nerc.com/files/glossary_of_terms.pdf NERC Glossary of Terms, May 2015]</ref>}}<br/> | ||
+ | =====[[NIST]]===== | ||
+ | {{definition|Scenario is a sequential, narrative account of a hypothetical incident that provides the catalyst for the exercise and is intended to introduce situations that will inspire responses and thus allow demonstration of the exercise objectives. (from: NIST SP 800-04) <ref name=NIST>[https://csrc.nist.gov/Glossary NIST Glossary]</ref>}}<br/> | ||
===Standard Definition=== | ===Standard Definition=== | ||
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[[Category:Simulation]][[Category:CIPRNet-Glossary]][[Category:DIESIS-Glossary]] | [[Category:Simulation]][[Category:CIPRNet-Glossary]][[Category:DIESIS-Glossary]] | ||
− | {{#set:defined by=EU|defined by=EU-project|defined by=IAEA|defined by=IPCC|defined by=Canada|defined by=Denmark|defined by=Germany|defined by=Italy|defined by=Jordan|defined by=Mexico|defined by=Netherlands|defined by=Spain|defined by=Sweden|defined by=United Kingdom|defined by=United States|defined by=NERC|defined by=ISO|defined by=Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)}} | + | {{#set:defined by=EU|defined by=ENTSO-E|defined by=EU-project|defined by=IAEA|defined by=IPCC|defined by=Canada|defined by=Denmark|defined by=Germany|defined by=Italy|defined by=Jordan|defined by=Mexico|defined by=Netherlands|defined by=Spain|defined by=Sweden|defined by=United Kingdom|defined by=United States|defined by=NERC|defined by=ISO|defined by=Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)|defined by=UNISDR|defined by=WHO|defined by=NIST}} |
[[Category:RESIN-Glossary]] | [[Category:RESIN-Glossary]] | ||
+ | {{#set: Showmainpage=Yes}} |
Latest revision as of 12:25, 24 January 2020
Contents
Definitions
European Definitions
European Commission
CLIMATE-ADAPT
Scenarios may be derived from projections, but are often based on additional information from other sources, sometimes combined with a narrative storyline.
ENTSO-E
European Project Definitions
CIPRNet project
The CIPRNet project [4] uses the following definition:
A scenario consists of a CI Model, the initial states of all components and the scenario behaviour that describes the events that happen
within the scenario.
DIESIS project
The DIESIS project [5] gives the following definition:
A scenario consists of a CI Model, the initial states of all components and the scenario behaviour that describes the events that happen
within the scenario.
RESIN project
The RESIN project [6] gives the following definition:
Other International Definitions
IAEA
Most commonly used in analysis or assessment to represent possible future conditions and/or events to be modelled, such as possible accidents {...}. A scenario may represent the conditions at a single point in time or a single event, or a time history of conditions and/or events (including processes).
IPCC
Scenarios may be derived from projections, but are often based on additional information from other sources, sometimes combined with a narrative storyline.
UNISDR
These scenarios form the basis for planning prevention,mitigation or preparedness.
WHO
National Definitions
Canada
Situation ou série d’événements hypothétiques décrivant un incident, une urgence ou une crise qui est présentée aux participants sous forme de récit afin de diriger la simulation lors d’un exercice. [12]
Denmark
Germany
Italy
Jordan
Mexico
Las proyecciones climáticas sirven a menudo como materia prima para la construcción de escenarios climáticos, pero los escenarios climáticos requieren información adicional, por ejemplo, acerca del clima observado en un momento determinado. Un ‘escenario de cambio climático’ es la diferencia entre un escenario climático y el clima actual.
Netherlands
Spain
Esta acepción es un anglicismo ya muy extendido en castellano, que aún no recoge el Diccionario de la Real Academia de la Lengua.
Sweden
United Kingdom (UK)
These use specific assumptions on how aspects of the world might change, like economies, social trends, changes in technology, environmental changes, etc., based upon the best understanding available.
United States
DHS
NERC
NIST
Standard Definition
ISO 22300:2012(en)
Discussion Topic
A postulated sequence or development of events. - Oxford Dictionary.
See also
Notes
- ↑ European Commission, COMMISSION STAFF WORKING PAPER Risk Assessment and Mapping Guidelines for Disaster Management, SEC(2010)1626 final, Brussels, 21.12.2010
- ↑ European Climate Adaptation Platform (CLIMATE-ADAPT) Glossary
- ↑ ENTSO-E Glossary of Terms
- ↑ http://www.ciprnet.eu/
- ↑ http://www.diesis-project.eu/
- ↑ http://www.resin-cities.eu/
- ↑ Mach, K.J., S. Planton and C. von Stechow (eds.). Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Annex II: Glossary. [Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri and L.A. Meyer (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, pp. 117-130.
- ↑ IAEA - Nuclear Security Series Glossary Version 1.3 (November 2015)
- ↑ IPCC
- ↑ Words Into Action: A Guide for Implementing the Hyogo Framework; Hyogo Framework for Action 2005-2015: Building the resilience of nations and communities to disasters
- ↑ WHO: Glossary of Humanitarian Terms
- ↑ Vocabulaire de la gestion des urgencies/Emergency Management Emergency Management Vocabulary 281 (2012)
- ↑ HÅNDBOG I RISIKOBASERET DIMENSIONERING, Beredskabsstyrelsen, Denmark (2004)
- ↑ IT Emergency and Crisis Exercises in Critical Infrastructures, BMI - Federal Ministry of the Interior (2007)
- ↑ Methode für die Risikoanalyse im Bevölkerungsschutz
- ↑ Dipartimento della Protezione Civile Glossario
- ↑ The National Climate Change Policy of the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan 2013-2020
- ↑ Glosario IPCC, Mexico
- ↑ Risicobeoordeling 16.0: Een kansrijk kader; Theorie achter het risicomanagementproces en leidraad voor risicobeoordeling, June 2015
- ↑ Glosario Mapama, government Spain
- ↑ Swedish National Risk Assessment 2012
- ↑ The National Adaptation Programme: Making the country resilient to a changing climate, UK Government (2013)
- ↑ DHS Risk Lexicon 2010 Edition, September 2010
- ↑ NERC Glossary of Terms, May 2015
- ↑ NIST Glossary
- ↑ ISO 22300:2012(en) Societal security — Terminology