Difference between revisions of "Optimism Bias"
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==Definitions== | ==Definitions== | ||
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{{Definition|Optimism bias is a person’s tendency to believe that a negative [[event]] is less likely to occur to him/her than other people, and the person’s [[Risk Perception|perception]] that s/he is more adept at averting injury should a negative [[event]] occur <ref>Weinstein, N. (1984). Why it won’t happen to me: Perceptions of risk factors and susceptibility. Health Psychology, 3, 431-457.</ref>. }} | {{Definition|Optimism bias is a person’s tendency to believe that a negative [[event]] is less likely to occur to him/her than other people, and the person’s [[Risk Perception|perception]] that s/he is more adept at averting injury should a negative [[event]] occur <ref>Weinstein, N. (1984). Why it won’t happen to me: Perceptions of risk factors and susceptibility. Health Psychology, 3, 431-457.</ref>. }} | ||
===Discussion=== | ===Discussion=== | ||
| − | + | Optimism bias relates to the perception of personal invulnerability, representing the underestimation of the likelihood of experiencing negative events <ref>Weinstein, N.D. & Klein, W.M. (1996). Unrealistic optimism: present and future. Journal of Social and Clinical Psychology, 15, 1-8.</ref>It represents a defensive distortion that can undermine preventive actions. <ref>Schwarzer R. (1994). Optimism, vulnerability, and self-beliefs as health-related cognitions: a systematic overview. Psychology and Health, 9, 161-180.</ref> Optimism bias can therefore be considered a form of indirect denial of [[risk]]. It is a concept that is frequently cited in research on [[risk]] and is an individual factor influencing [[Risk Perception]]. <ref>Lopes, L. L. (1995). Algebra and process in the modelling of risky choice. In J. Busemeyer & R. Hastie & D. L. Medin (Eds.), Decision making from a cognitive perspective. San Diego CA: Academic Press.</ref> <ref> McKenna, F. P. (1993). It Won’t Happen to Me: Unrealistic Optimism or Illusion of Control. British Journal of Psychology, 84, pp 39–50. </ref> | |
| − | Optimism bias relates to the perception of personal invulnerability, representing the underestimation of the likelihood of experiencing negative events <ref>Weinstein, N.D. & Klein, W.M. (1996). Unrealistic optimism: present and future. Journal of Social and Clinical Psychology, 15, 1-8.</ref>It represents a defensive distortion that can undermine preventive actions. <ref>Schwarzer R. (1994). Optimism, vulnerability, and self-beliefs as health related cognitions: a systematic overview. Psychology and Health, 9, 161-180.</ref> Optimism bias can therefore be considered a form of indirect denial of [[risk]]. It is a concept that is frequently cited in research on [[risk]] and is an individual factor influencing [[Risk Perception]]. <ref>Lopes, L. L. (1995). Algebra and process in the modelling of risky choice. In J. Busemeyer & R. Hastie & D. L. Medin (Eds.), Decision making from a cognitive perspective. San Diego CA: Academic Press.</ref> <ref> McKenna, F. P. (1993). It Won’t Happen to Me: Unrealistic Optimism or Illusion of Control. British Journal of Psychology, 84, pp 39–50. </ref> | ||
==See also== | ==See also== | ||
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* [[Illusion of Control]] | * [[Illusion of Control]] | ||
* [[Risk]] | * [[Risk]] | ||
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* [[Subjective Risk]] | * [[Subjective Risk]] | ||
* [[Risk Mitigation]] | * [[Risk Mitigation]] | ||
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==Notes== | ==Notes== | ||
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[[Category:Human Aspects]][[Category:Risk]] | [[Category:Human Aspects]][[Category:Risk]] | ||
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Latest revision as of 13:08, 15 August 2022
Definitions
Academic Definitions
Optimism bias is a person’s tendency to believe that a negative event is less likely to occur to him/her than other people, and the person’s perception that s/he is more adept at averting injury should a negative event occur [1].
Discussion
Optimism bias relates to the perception of personal invulnerability, representing the underestimation of the likelihood of experiencing negative events [2]It represents a defensive distortion that can undermine preventive actions. [3] Optimism bias can therefore be considered a form of indirect denial of risk. It is a concept that is frequently cited in research on risk and is an individual factor influencing Risk Perception. [4] [5]
See also
- Human Resilience
- Illusion of Control
- Risk
- Risk Perception
- Risk Tolerance
- Subjective Risk
- Risk Mitigation
Notes
References
- ↑ Weinstein, N. (1984). Why it won’t happen to me: Perceptions of risk factors and susceptibility. Health Psychology, 3, 431-457.
- ↑ Weinstein, N.D. & Klein, W.M. (1996). Unrealistic optimism: present and future. Journal of Social and Clinical Psychology, 15, 1-8.
- ↑ Schwarzer R. (1994). Optimism, vulnerability, and self-beliefs as health-related cognitions: a systematic overview. Psychology and Health, 9, 161-180.
- ↑ Lopes, L. L. (1995). Algebra and process in the modelling of risky choice. In J. Busemeyer & R. Hastie & D. L. Medin (Eds.), Decision making from a cognitive perspective. San Diego CA: Academic Press.
- ↑ McKenna, F. P. (1993). It Won’t Happen to Me: Unrealistic Optimism or Illusion of Control. British Journal of Psychology, 84, pp 39–50.
