Difference between revisions of "Likelihood"
Jump to navigation
Jump to search
(→Other International Definitions) |
|||
Line 13: | Line 13: | ||
=== Other International Definitions === | === Other International Definitions === | ||
− | + | ==== [[IPCC]] ==== | |
− | + | {{definition|Likelihood | |
+ | A probabilistic estimate of the occurrence of a single event or of an outcome, for example, a climate parameter, observed trend, or projected change lying in a given range. Likelihood may be based on statistical or modeling analyses, elicitation of expert views, or other quantitative analyses. <ref>[https://ccd.gujarat.gov.in/images/Climate-Change-Glossary-IPCC.pdf IPCC, 2012: Glossary of terms. In: Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation [Field, C.B., V. Barros, T.F. Stocker, D. Qin, D.J. Dokken, K.L. Ebi, M.D. Mastrandrea, K.J. Mach, G.-K. Plattner, S.K. Allen, M. Tignor, and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA, pp. 555-564.]</ref>}}<br /><br/> | ||
=== National Definitions === | === National Definitions === |
Revision as of 00:11, 23 February 2017
Contents
Definitions
EU Definitions
CLIMATE-ADAPT
The likelihood of an occurrence, an outcome or a result, where this can be estimated probabilistically. [1]
European Project Definitions
CIPRNet project
The CIPRNet project [2] uses the following definition:
Likelihood is the chance of something happening.
RESIN project
The RESIN project [3] gives the following definition:
The chance of a specific outcome occurring, where this might be estimated probabilistically. [4]
Other International Definitions
IPCC
LikelihoodA probabilistic estimate of the occurrence of a single event or of an outcome, for example, a climate parameter, observed trend, or projected change lying in a given range. Likelihood may be based on statistical or modeling analyses, elicitation of expert views, or other quantitative analyses. [5]
National Definitions
Norway
(I risikoanalyser) brukes ofte sannsynlighet som mål på hvor trolig vi mener det er at en bestemt hendelse vil inntreffe, gitt vårt kunnskapsgrunnlag. [6]
(In risk analyses) likelihood is often used as an expression of how likely we think it is that a specific event will occur, given our knowledge base. [7]
(In risk analyses) likelihood is often used as an expression of how likely we think it is that a specific event will occur, given our knowledge base. [7]
United Kingdom (UK)
United States
Standard Definition
ISA
ISO 73:2009
Chance of something happening. [11]
Discussion Topic
See also
Notes
- ↑ European Climate Adaptation Platform (CLIMATE-ADAPT) Glossary
- ↑ http://www.ciprnet.eu/
- ↑ http://www.resin-cities.eu/
- ↑ Mach, K.J., S. Planton and C. von Stechow (eds.). Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Annex II: Glossary. [Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri and L.A. Meyer (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, pp. 117-130.
- ↑ IPCC, 2012: Glossary of terms. In: Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation [Field, C.B., V. Barros, T.F. Stocker, D. Qin, D.J. Dokken, K.L. Ebi, M.D. Mastrandrea, K.J. Mach, G.-K. Plattner, S.K. Allen, M. Tignor, and P.M. Midgley (eds.). A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA, pp. 555-564.]
- ↑ DSB, National Risikobild 2014
- ↑ DSB, National Risk Analysis 2014
- ↑ The National Adaptation Programme: Making the country resilient to a changing climate, UK Government (2013)
- ↑ DHS Risk Lexicon 2010 Edition, September 2010
- ↑ ISA WG7; IEC 62443-2-1(2010-11)
- ↑ ISO Guide 73:2009 Risk management -- Vocabulary