Difference between revisions of "Likelihood"
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<!-- This section presents all available definitions of the above term.--> | <!-- This section presents all available definitions of the above term.--> | ||
− | === European Definitions === | + | === EU Definitions === |
+ | ==== [[CLIMATE-ADAPT]] ==== | ||
+ | {{definition|The likelihood of an occurrence, an outcome or a result, where this can be estimated probabilistically. <ref>[http://climate-adapt.eea.europa.eu/help/glossary European Climate Adaptation Platform (CLIMATE-ADAPT) Glossary]</ref>}}<br/><br/> | ||
+ | |||
+ | === European Project Definitions === | ||
+ | ==== CIPRNet project ==== | ||
+ | {{quote-ciprnet|Likelihood is the chance of something happening.}}<br/> | ||
+ | |||
+ | ==== RESIN project ==== | ||
+ | {{quote-resin| The chance of a specific outcome occurring, where this might be estimated probabilistically. <ref>Mach, K.J., S. Planton and C. von Stechow (eds.). Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Annex II: Glossary. [Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri and L.A. Meyer (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, pp. 117-130.</ref> }} | ||
+ | |||
=== Other International Definitions === | === Other International Definitions === | ||
− | + | ==== [[IPCC]] ==== | |
− | + | {{definition|Likelihood: A probabilistic estimate of the occurrence of a single event or of an outcome, for example, a climate parameter, observed trend, or projected change lying in a given range. Likelihood may be based on statistical or modeling analyses, elicitation of expert views, or other quantitative analyses. <ref>[https://ccd.gujarat.gov.in/images/Climate-Change-Glossary-IPCC.pdf IPCC, 2012: Glossary of terms. In: Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation [Field, C.B., V. Barros, T.F. Stocker, D. Qin, D.J. Dokken, K.L. Ebi, M.D. Mastrandrea, K.J. Mach, G.-K. Plattner, S.K. Allen, M. Tignor, and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA, pp. 555-564.]</ref>}}<br /><br/> | |
=== National Definitions === | === National Definitions === | ||
− | < | + | ==== [[Canada]] ==== |
− | ==== United States==== | + | {{definition|Likelihood: The chance of an event or incident happening, whether defined, measured or determined objectively or subjectively.<br /><br />Vraisemblance: Possibilité qu’un événement ou un incident se produise, que celle-ci soit définie, mesurée ou déterminée de manière objective ou subjective. <ref name="canada">[http://publications.gc.ca/collections/collection_2012/tpsgc-pwgsc/S52-2-281-2012.pdf Vocabulaire de la gestion des urgencies/Emergency Management Emergency Management Vocabulary 281 (2012)]</ref>}}<br/><br/> |
− | {{definition|Estimate of the potential of an [[incident]] or [[event]]’s occurrence. <ref name="DHSLex"> [http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/dhs-risk-lexicon-2010.pdf DHS Risk Lexicon 2010 Edition, September 2010]</ref>}} | + | ==== [[France]] ==== |
+ | {{definition|Vraisemblance: Estimation de la possibilité qu’un scénario de menace ou un risque, se produise. Elle représente sa force d’occurrence. <ref>[https://www.ssi.gouv.fr/uploads/2014/01/securite_industrielle_GT_methode_classification-principales_mesures.pdf Méthode de classification et mesures principales, ANSSI (2014)]</ref><br/><br/>Likelihood: Estimate of the possibility that a threat scenario or a risk will occur. It represents the estimated level of possibility. <ref>[https://www.ssi.gouv.fr/uploads/2014/01/industrial_security_WG_Classification_Method.pdf Classification Method and Key Measures, ANSSI (2014)]</ref>}}<br/><br/> | ||
+ | |||
+ | ====[[Kingdom of Saudi Arabia]]==== | ||
+ | {{definition|Likelihood: A weighted factor based on an analysis of the probability that a given threat is capable of exploiting a given vulnerability. (NISTIR 7298r2 Glossary of Key Information Security Terms) <ref>[http://www.sama.gov.sa/en-US/Laws/BankingRules/SAMA%20Cyber%20Security%20Framework.pdf Cyber Security Framework Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority Version 1.0 May 2017 ]</ref>}}<br/><br/> | ||
+ | ==== [[Norway]] ==== | ||
+ | {{definition|(I risikoanalyser) brukes ofte sannsynlighet som mål på hvor trolig vi mener det er at en bestemt hendelse vil inntreffe, gitt vårt kunnskapsgrunnlag. <ref>[https://www.dsb.no/globalassets/dokumenter/rapporter/nrb_2014.pdf DSB, National Risikobild 2014]</ref><br/><br/>(In [[Risk Analysis|risk analyses]]) likelihood is often used as an expression of how likely we think it is that a specific [[event]] will occur, given our knowledge base. <ref>[http://www.dsbinfo.no/DSBno/2015/Andre/NationalRiskAnalysis2014/ DSB, National Risk Analysis 2014]</ref>}}<br/><br/> | ||
+ | |||
+ | ==== [[United Kingdom|United Kingdom (UK)]] ==== | ||
+ | {{definition|Likelihood is the chance of an [[event]] or outcome occurring, usually expressed as a probability. <ref>[https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/209866/pb13942-nap-20130701.pdf The National Adaptation Programme: Making the country resilient to a changing climate, UK Government (2013)]</ref>}}<br /><br/> | ||
+ | ==== [[United States]]==== | ||
+ | =====[[DHS]]===== | ||
+ | {{definition|Estimate of the potential of an [[incident]] or [[event]]’s occurrence. <ref name="DHSLex"> [http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/dhs-risk-lexicon-2010.pdf DHS Risk Lexicon 2010 Edition, September 2010]</ref>}}<br/> | ||
+ | =====[[NIST]]===== | ||
+ | {{definition|Likelihood: A weighted factor based on a subjective analysis of the probability that a given threat is capable of exploiting a given vulnerability. (from: NIST SP 800-161) <ref name=NIST>[https://csrc.nist.gov/Glossary NIST Glossary]</ref>}}<br/> | ||
===Standard Definition=== | ===Standard Definition=== | ||
+ | ====ISA==== | ||
+ | {{definition|Likelihood is the quantitative estimation that an action, [[event]] or [[incident]] may occur. <ref>ISA WG7; IEC 62443-2-1(2010-11)</ref>}}<br /> | ||
+ | |||
+ | ====[[ISO|ISO 73:2009]]==== | ||
{{definition|Chance of something happening. <ref>[http://www.iso.org/iso/catalogue_detail?csnumber=44651 ISO Guide 73:2009 Risk management -- Vocabulary]</ref>}} | {{definition|Chance of something happening. <ref>[http://www.iso.org/iso/catalogue_detail?csnumber=44651 ISO Guide 73:2009 Risk management -- Vocabulary]</ref>}} | ||
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[[Category:Risk]] | [[Category:Risk]] | ||
− | {{#set:defined by=United States|defined by=ISO}} | + | {{#set:defined by=EU|defined by=United States|defined by=ISO|defined by=Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)}} |
+ | [[Category:CIPRNet-Glossary]][[Category:RESIN-Glossary]] | ||
+ | {{#set:defined by=EU project|defined by=IPCC|defined by=UN|defined by=Canada|defined by=France|defined by=Kingdom of Saudi Arabia|defined by=United Kingdom|defined by=Norway|defined by=United States|defined by=DHS|defined by=NIST}} | ||
+ | {{#set: Showmainpage=Yes}} |
Revision as of 00:13, 28 June 2019
Contents
Definitions
EU Definitions
CLIMATE-ADAPT
The likelihood of an occurrence, an outcome or a result, where this can be estimated probabilistically. [1]
European Project Definitions
CIPRNet project
The CIPRNet project [2] uses the following definition:
Likelihood is the chance of something happening.
RESIN project
The RESIN project [3] gives the following definition:
The chance of a specific outcome occurring, where this might be estimated probabilistically. [4]
Other International Definitions
IPCC
Likelihood: A probabilistic estimate of the occurrence of a single event or of an outcome, for example, a climate parameter, observed trend, or projected change lying in a given range. Likelihood may be based on statistical or modeling analyses, elicitation of expert views, or other quantitative analyses. [5]
National Definitions
Canada
Likelihood: The chance of an event or incident happening, whether defined, measured or determined objectively or subjectively.
Vraisemblance: Possibilité qu’un événement ou un incident se produise, que celle-ci soit définie, mesurée ou déterminée de manière objective ou subjective. [6]
Vraisemblance: Possibilité qu’un événement ou un incident se produise, que celle-ci soit définie, mesurée ou déterminée de manière objective ou subjective. [6]
France
Vraisemblance: Estimation de la possibilité qu’un scénario de menace ou un risque, se produise. Elle représente sa force d’occurrence. [7]
Likelihood: Estimate of the possibility that a threat scenario or a risk will occur. It represents the estimated level of possibility. [8]
Likelihood: Estimate of the possibility that a threat scenario or a risk will occur. It represents the estimated level of possibility. [8]
Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Likelihood: A weighted factor based on an analysis of the probability that a given threat is capable of exploiting a given vulnerability. (NISTIR 7298r2 Glossary of Key Information Security Terms) [9]
Norway
(I risikoanalyser) brukes ofte sannsynlighet som mål på hvor trolig vi mener det er at en bestemt hendelse vil inntreffe, gitt vårt kunnskapsgrunnlag. [10]
(In risk analyses) likelihood is often used as an expression of how likely we think it is that a specific event will occur, given our knowledge base. [11]
(In risk analyses) likelihood is often used as an expression of how likely we think it is that a specific event will occur, given our knowledge base. [11]
United Kingdom (UK)
United States
DHS
NIST
Likelihood: A weighted factor based on a subjective analysis of the probability that a given threat is capable of exploiting a given vulnerability. (from: NIST SP 800-161) [14]
Standard Definition
ISA
ISO 73:2009
Chance of something happening. [16]
Discussion Topic
See also
Notes
- ↑ European Climate Adaptation Platform (CLIMATE-ADAPT) Glossary
- ↑ http://www.ciprnet.eu/
- ↑ http://www.resin-cities.eu/
- ↑ Mach, K.J., S. Planton and C. von Stechow (eds.). Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Annex II: Glossary. [Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri and L.A. Meyer (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, pp. 117-130.
- ↑ IPCC, 2012: Glossary of terms. In: Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation [Field, C.B., V. Barros, T.F. Stocker, D. Qin, D.J. Dokken, K.L. Ebi, M.D. Mastrandrea, K.J. Mach, G.-K. Plattner, S.K. Allen, M. Tignor, and P.M. Midgley (eds.). A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA, pp. 555-564.]
- ↑ Vocabulaire de la gestion des urgencies/Emergency Management Emergency Management Vocabulary 281 (2012)
- ↑ Méthode de classification et mesures principales, ANSSI (2014)
- ↑ Classification Method and Key Measures, ANSSI (2014)
- ↑ Cyber Security Framework Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority Version 1.0 May 2017
- ↑ DSB, National Risikobild 2014
- ↑ DSB, National Risk Analysis 2014
- ↑ The National Adaptation Programme: Making the country resilient to a changing climate, UK Government (2013)
- ↑ DHS Risk Lexicon 2010 Edition, September 2010
- ↑ NIST Glossary
- ↑ ISA WG7; IEC 62443-2-1(2010-11)
- ↑ ISO Guide 73:2009 Risk management -- Vocabulary